by Nassim Nicholas Taleb · Ediciones Paidós Ibérica · tapa blanda · ISBN 9788449321894
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«El cisne negro» is Nassim Nicholas Taleb's essay, published by Ediciones Paidós Ibérica in paperback (496 pages, in Spanish).
A black swan is an improbable event of great impact that can only be explained in hindsight. Taleb argues that by focusing on the known, we ignore the unknown and become vulnerable. With examples such as Google or 9/11, Taleb covers cognitive science, business, and probability, and analyzes the narrative fallacy.
Work originally published as «The Black Swan» and translated by Roc Filella. It is part of the «Paidós transiciones» collection.
For readers interested in economics, human behavior, and probability theory, with a critical approach to how we understand chance.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a Lebanese-American New York University professor, essayist, mathematical statistician, former option trader, risk analyst, and aphorist. His work concerns problems of randomness, probability, complexity, and uncertainty.
